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Just Another level? Comparing Quantitative Patterns of Global School and Higher Education Expansion

    Bilal Barakat, Robin Shields

VID Working Papers, pp. 1-26, 2021/09/17

doi: 10.1553/0x003cd020


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doi:10.1553/0x003cd020

Abstract

The expansion of enrolment and attainment is a key theme in higher education research. Inparticular, research has examined cross-national determinants of higher education expansionwhile understanding expansion through the relationship between higher education and thelabour market. Early work on higher education expansion established a key framework forclassifying enrolment levels, but empirical studies on the global expansion of higher educationare scarce. This study addresses this gap by comparing the existing patterns of highereducation expansion to those experienced at other levels on the course to universal or nearuniversalaccess. We demonstrate that a model fitting universal access trajectories fits highereducation as well as other levels of education, and, therefore, there is no prima facie reason tobelieve that its expansion will face ceilings or saturation levels based upon available evidence.Claims that are premised on such a ceiling should therefore consider empirical evidence forthis assumption in their analysis. These findings contribute to discussions on higher educationexpansion as well as studies of higher education and the labour market.

Keywords: Higher education, post-secondary education, expansion, attainment, universalisation, labour market

Published Online: 2021/09/17 14:16:16

Object Identifier: 0xc1aa5572 0x003cd020

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